Grêmio vs Sportivo Luqueño - Copa Sudamericana

Fixture Preview - 29 May 2025

Match Context & Stakes

Copa Sudamericana logo
Thu 29 May • 23:00 Europe/London
Grêmio badge
LossWinLossLossWin
vs
Sportivo Luqueño badge
LossDrawLossDrawLoss
Full Time Result
10 on Home Win
Odds: 1.20
Over/Under 2.5
8 on Over 2.5
Odds: 1.65
Both Teams To Score
8 on BTTS No
Odds: 1.57

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Finding a sensible angle…

Match Preview

As Grêmio prepares to host Sportivo Luqueño in the Copa Sudamericana, the Brazilian side enters the match with a mixed bag of recent performances, recording two wins and three losses in their last five outings. In contrast, Luqueño’s form has been even less encouraging, with just one draw and four losses in their last five games. This disparity in form suggests that Grêmio will be the stronger contender, particularly given their home advantage at the Arena do Grêmio. One notable angle to consider is the historical head-to-head record, which shows Grêmio has had the upper hand in their previous encounters, winning two out of the last ten matches against Luqueño. Additionally, the odds reflect this sentiment, with Grêmio heavily favoured at 1.2. However, the odds for both teams to score (BTTS) at 2.5 could be worth exploring, as Luqueño may look to exploit any defensive lapses from the hosts. Overall, while Grêmio is expected to dominate, the potential for a competitive match remains.

Prediction Strength

Full Time Result

Home Win83.3%
Draw15.4%
Away Win5.6%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.560.6%
Under 2.544.4%

Both Teams to Score

BTTS Yes40%
BTTS No63.7%

Mini League Table

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PosTeamPWDLPts
2Atlético Mineiro62319
2Palestino63039
2Cerro Largo62137
2Grêmio633012
2Once Caldas640212
3Caracas62228
3Vitória61326
3Boston River62137
3Unión Española61235
3Atlético Grau60424
3Melgar62137
3Corinthians62228
3Cruzeiro61235
4Nacional Potosí62137
4Academia Puerto Cabello61235
4Deportes Iquique61144
4Unión Santa Fe61144
4Racing60151
4Gualberto Villarroel SJ61144
4Sportivo Luqueño60242
4Defensa y Justicia60424

Head to Head

DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
May 29, 2025Grêmio1–0Sportivo LuqueñoCopa Sudamericana
April 3, 2025Sportivo Luqueño1–2GrêmioCopa Sudamericana