New York City vs Toronto - Major League Soccer

Fixture Preview - 4 July 2025

Match Context & Stakes

Major League Soccer logo
Fri 4 Jul • 00:30 Europe/London
New York City badge
LossWinDrawWinWin
vs
Toronto badge
WinLossLossDrawDraw
Full Time Result
8 on Home Win
Odds: 1.57
Over/Under 2.5
8 on Over 2.5
Odds: 1.62
Both Teams To Score
7 on BTTS Yes
Odds: 1.70

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Finding a sensible angle…

Match Preview

In this Major League Soccer clash, New York City FC hosts Toronto FC at Yankee Stadium on July 4th. NYCFC comes into the match in decent form, with three wins and a draw in their last five outings, showcasing a solid attacking unit. In contrast, Toronto has struggled recently, managing just one win in their last five matches, which puts them under pressure as they seek to climb the standings. A key angle to consider is the historical dominance of NYCFC in their head-to-head encounters, where they have won six of the last ten meetings against Toronto. Additionally, both teams have a tendency to find the net, with seven of the last ten meetings featuring both teams scoring. Given NYCFC's strong home advantage and Toronto's defensive vulnerabilities, betting on both teams to score (BTTS) at odds of 1.7 could be a prudent choice, especially with the likelihood of an open game as both teams aim for crucial points.

Prediction Strength

Full Time Result

Home Win63.7%
Draw23.8%
Away Win18.2%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.561.7%
Under 2.544.4%

Both Teams to Score

BTTS Yes58.8%
BTTS No47.6%

Betting Angles

  • Over 2.5 goals scored in 70% of the last 10 head-to-head meetings.
  • Both teams have scored in 70% of the last 10 head-to-head meetings.
  • New York City has a recent form of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches.
  • Toronto has a recent form of 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches.

Mini League Table

View full table →
PosTeamPWDLPts
6Portland Timbers26107937
7Colorado Rapids271061136
7Charlotte271421144
8New York City25125841
8Austin2598835
9Chicago Fire26116939
9SJ Earthquakes27881132
10New York RB271161039
10Real Salt Lake26941331
11Dallas26781129
11New England26771228
12Toronto26581323
12Houston Dynamo26781129
13Sporting KC26661424
13Atlanta United264101222

Head to Head

DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
July 3, 2025New York City3–1TorontoMajor League Soccer
April 26, 2025Toronto0–1New York CityMajor League Soccer
May 11, 2024Toronto2–3New York CityMajor League Soccer
March 16, 2024New York City2–1TorontoMajor League Soccer
September 24, 2023New York City3–0TorontoMajor League Soccer
April 29, 2023Toronto1–0New York CityMajor League Soccer
April 24, 2022New York City5–4TorontoMajor League Soccer
April 2, 2022Toronto2–1New York CityMajor League Soccer
August 8, 2021Toronto2–2New York CityMajor League Soccer
May 15, 2021New York City1–1TorontoMajor League Soccer